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2014-02-21

美情報官:中國備戰閃電式打擊日本




美情報官:中國備戰閃電式打擊日本VOA2014.02.20
http://www.voafanti.com/gate/big5/www.voachinese.com/content/intelligence-china-prepares-war-against-japan-20140220/1855825.html
華盛頓 美國太平洋艦隊一名高級情報官員説,中國近幾個月來一直在為對日本展開一場閃電式戰爭做好軍事準備。
過去幾個月來,中國明顯增加了在西太平洋海域舉行實戰軍事演練的頻率和強度。
在美國海軍研究所211號至13號主辦的一次大型研討會上,美軍第7艦隊情報處副處長詹姆斯•法內爾説,中國軍隊正在備戰對付日本。
法內爾説:“我們看到了他們實施2013年行動計劃,並展開大型兩棲作戰和跨軍區軍事演練。我們得出的結論是,解放軍接到了一項新的指令,就是要有能力對日本展開一場短暫和激烈的戰爭,在東中國海上擊毀日本自衛隊,然後奪取尖閣諸島,甚至像一些中國學者所説的那樣,奪取琉球群島南部某個島嶼。”
法內爾上校去年在同一個場合稱中國正在實施一項海權擴張戰略,將會嚴重損害地區安全。他因為那番話受到中國媒體的嚴厲批評。
在今年的研討會上,法內爾上校説,過去一年中發生的各項事件證明他當時的言論並不過分,稱中國的海權擴張行為將會繼續下去。
法內爾説:“正如我去年所説的,我預測中華人民共和國會在今年或明年宣佈設立南中國海航空識別區。”
中國在過去幾個月中採取了一系列美國官員所説的“挑釁行為”,包括單方面宣佈在東中國海設立防空識別區,並且在南中國海國際海域強行阻攔美國一艘軍艦。
美國政府稱不承認中國的東中國海防空識別區,並告誡北京不要設立南中國海航空識別區。但是中國政府拒絕接受美國的立場,軍方稱有能力和決心監管航空識別區。
在法內爾上校發言後,美軍太平洋艦隊的另一位上校戴維•亞當斯也直截了當地説,亞洲和平與安全的主要威脅是中國
亞當斯説:“一個資源無限、使用這些資源時又不受限制的中國是亞洲的中心問題,這也是我們今天所討論的問題。”
這次年度研討會的主辦者是美國海軍人員組織創立的、非官方的海軍研究所。這個機構的使命是提供一個獨立的、讓軍人們直言不諱、大膽發言的論壇,以推進人們對海軍力量和重大國防事務的了解。
美國軍方最高層官員針對中國軍事發展發表評論時往往更加謹慎和婉轉。美軍太平洋司令部司令洛克利爾最近在評論中國採取一系列挑釁行動時説,美軍的目標和他個人的工作目標是使中國最終成為安全環境的凈貢獻者,而不是凈消費者

China training for ‘short sharp war’ with Japan, Navy official saysWT2014.02.19http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/feb/19/china-training-for-short-sharp-war-with-japan-navy/
Capt. James Fannell, the chief of intelligence of the U.S. Pacific Fleet, believes that China is training for war with Japan.
A recent training exercise by the Chinese military included an amphibious invasion geared toward securing Japanese resources in the East China Sea, the U.S. Naval Institute News reported.
“We witnessed the massive amphibious and cross military region enterprise — Mission Action 2013,” Capt. Fannell said at the West 2014 conference on Feb. 13 in San Diego, Calif., USNI News reported.
“[We] concluded that the PLA has been given the new task to be able to conduct a short sharp war to destroy Japanese forces in the East China Sea following with what can only be expected a seizure of the Senkakus or even a southern Ryukyu [islands] — as some of their academics say.”
China’s military budget this year will jump from $139.2 billion in 2013 to $148 billion this year, according to a recent study by global information forecaster IHS Janes.  By the end of the year, the nation will spend more on its defense budget than Britain, France and Germany combined.

Navy Official: China Training for ‘Short Sharp War’ with Japan
USNI2014.02.19http://news.usni.org/2014/02/18/navy-official-china-training-short-sharp-war-japan
China has long trained for an amphibious invasion of Taiwan during military exercises but has expanded its training to include a similar attack on Japanese holdings in the East China Sea, according the chief of intelligence of the U.S. Pacific Fleet (PACFLEET).
As part of China’s Mission Action 2013 exercise — a massive exercise between the all branches of China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) — the military trained for taking the Senkaku Islands, said Capt. James Fanell, deputy chief of staff intelligence and information operations for PACFLEET.
“We witnessed the massive amphibious and cross military region enterprise — Mission Action 2013,” Fanell said at the West 2014 conference on Feb. 13 in San Diego, Calif.
“[We] concluded that the PLA has been given the new task to be able to conduct a short sharp war to destroy Japanese forces in the East China Sea following with what can only be expected a seizure of the Senkakus or even a southern Ryukyu [islands] — as some of their academics say.”
In the last year, China has increased the military activity has additionally increased provocative military actions in the South China Sea around the so-called Nine Dash Line — China’s expansive claim into the region in conflict with several other international claims.
“As a senior U.S. government official recently stated, there is growing concern that China’s pattern of behavior in the South China Sea reflects an incremental effort by China to assert control of the area contained in the so-called 9-dash line despite the objections of its neighbors, and despite the lack of any explanation or apparent basis under international law.” Fanell said.
He then detailed a series of what he called aggressive actions taken by China against its neighbors over the past year.  Some of those actions, including combat drills in the south Philippine Sea were described as China’s “protection of maritime rights.”
“By the way, protection of maritime rights is a Chinese euphemism for coerce seizure of coastal rights of China’s neighbors,” Fanell said.
“The next week (the week after the combat drill in the south Philippine Sea) in the East China Sea, Japan said that a Chinese warship locked its fire-controlled radar onto a Japanese warship.  China denied it for a month, but then admitted that it occurred, but said that it was not in danger since the range between the two ships was too close for a weapons system,” he said.
“Seriously, you just can’t make this stuff up.”
Fanell also called out quasi-military actions by the newly created Chinese Coast Guard which unified five mostly civil maritime services.
Tensions in the South and East China Seas have deteriorated with the Chinese Coast Guard playing the role of antagonist, harassing China’s neighbors while PLA Navy ships, their protectors, (make) port calls throughout the region promising friendship and cooperation.
Fanell noted the nation has allocated $1.6 million on improvements to disputed South China Sea outposts. Developing ports, air fields, water purification and surveillance systems.  “Meanwhile, China describes efforts by other nations to improve the navigability of their outposts as egregious provocations and responded with threats.”
Fanell’s assessment of the Chinese lies seemingly in contrast to American efforts to forge close military-to-military ties with the country.
On the same panel the Navy’s head of operations, plans and strategy, Rear Adm. James Foggo described a successful meeting between U.S. Navy officials and the head of the PLAN, Adm. Wu Shengli.  The U.S. delegation toured PLAN ships and submarines.  However, shortly after they left, the Chinese declared the controversial Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over a large swath over the East China Sea in November.
The U.S. is also continuing to work out plans for the Chinese navy to participate in the Rim of the Pacific 2014 (RIMPAC) exercise later this year.



2 則留言:

  1. 繞過台灣??看來好似隔山打牛。會不會是”項莊舞劍意在沛公”?

    如果中國備戰是真,台灣人就不能不小心了。

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  2. 這當然不是新聞,在中國用大量短程彈道飛彈涵蓋台灣全島時,中國已然進行的下個目標就是用包括近洋柴油潛艦在內的平台來將中距離程彈道飛彈涵蓋日本全境,中國目前選的衝突想定是釣魚台和日本的西南諸島,和配合軟土深掘逐步前進威脅第二島鏈的南海諸島的經濟海域及防空識別.

    也就是說中國找幾個點作為試驗衝撞美國遠東近洋海權的可能性分析,看看能不能瓦解美國在亞太的區域海權的地位.這是中國在不成熟的遠洋海軍尚未建立之時,以膨脹過後的信心作出的行徑,本來這也沒甚麼,很多槍桿子當權的區域強權都會作的事情,只是中國剛好直接挑戰到歐美全球海權霸業,這是是否進入全面戰爭與否的問題.

    進行了全面戰爭當然也就否定中國在歐美和隨後跟班所建立的全球經貿體系,過去俄羅斯在北方大陸至少建構了共產陣營的經貿系統,中國是靠歐美經貿體系長大的壞小孩,當他要賭一把看看歐美會不會息事寧人讓他直接奪取亞太近洋海權卻讓日本單打獨鬥而不吭聲,然後再進一步的看看能不能直接正面對決歐美全球遠洋海權時,也許中國要思考的是如果歐美吭聲,或許中國人的中國夢在二十一世紀也沒了.

    中肯來說,全球比較上,中國現在活得不錯,如果中國的當權集體獨裁系統不躁進的話,當中國質變到縮短權貴與黎民的相當經濟與政治權力差距時,或許對大家都好的中國夢會是實現的時候.

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